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Simulate the 2026 F1 season and predict the champion
Each race runs 50,000 Monte Carlo trials combining current-season race pace, qualifying performance, and track-specific affinities. The model seeds from real championship standings — it only simulates rounds that haven't happened yet.
Click any upcoming race and pick a winner to lock it in. Championship projections update immediately across all 22 drivers and 11 constructors. Unlock it anytime to let the model decide.
Probabilities blend each driver's race pace rating, qualifying head-to-head record, team-level car quality, and circuit affinities built from historical results. Early in the season, pre-season ratings carry more weight; by mid-season, 2026 data takes over.
Constructor points combine both drivers. A team whose second driver consistently scores mid-table points can outscore a constructor with a single dominant driver and a weaker second seat.