F1 Fantasy Projections
Projected points for the United States Grand Prix, from 20,000 simulated race weekends. Range is the middle 80 percent of outcomes.
For the United States Grand Prix, Max Verstappen (28.8 projected points, range 10 to 47), Lewis Hamilton (27.3 projected points, range 14 to 45) and Charles Leclerc (26.8 projected points, range 13 to 44) are the top projected F1 Fantasy drivers, and Ferrari is the top constructor at 66.0. The figures come from 20,000 simulated race weekends scored with the F1 Fantasy rules; the range is the middle 80 percent of outcomes.
Data updated .
| 01 |  Max VerstappenVER Red Bull | $28.2M | 28.8 | 1047 | 100% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 |  Lewis HamiltonHAM Ferrari | $24.4M | 27.3 | 1445 | 95% |
| 03 |  Charles LeclercLECFerrari | $24.1M | 26.8 | 1344 | 98% |
| 04 |  Kimi AntonelliANT Mercedes | $27.1M | 24.9 | 745 | 87% |
| 05 |  George RussellRUSMercedes | $27.9M | 21.6 | -941 | 0% |
| 06 |  Lando NorrisNOR McLaren | $26.1M | 18.2 | -1137 | 11% |
| 07 |  Isack HadjarHADRed Bull | $16.3M | 15.7 | -1131 | 73% |
| 08 |  Oscar PiastriPIAMcLaren | $23.4M | 13.7 | -1330 | 12% |
| 09 |  Liam LawsonLAW Racing Bulls | $9.9M | 8.9 | -120 | 91% |
| 10 |  Arvid LindbladLINRacing Bulls | $10.0M | 7.0 | -118 | 92% |
| 11 |  Esteban OconOCO Haas | $9.9M | 5.3 | -1316 | 73% |
| 12 |  Pierre GaslyGAS Alpine | $10.2M | 4.5 | -1617 | 3% |
| 13 |  Oliver BearmanBEAHaas | $6.4M | 4.4 | -1415 | 89% |
| 14 |  Carlos SainzSAI Williams | $8.4M | 4.0 | -1716 | 53% |
| 15 |  Franco ColapintoCOLAlpine | $8.8M | 4.0 | -1716 | 0% |
| 16 |  Sergio PerezPER Cadillac | $3.6M | 3.8 | -1715 | 35% |
| 17 |  Gabriel BortoletoBOR Audi | $7.0M | 3.6 | -1715 | 0% |
| 18 |  Valtteri BottasBOTCadillac | $3.0M | 3.2 | -1815 | 0% |
| 19 |  Nico HulkenbergHULAudi | $6.6M | 2.9 | -1716 | 96% |
| 20 |  Alex AlbonALBWilliams | $4.6M | 2.9 | -1815 | 0% |
| 21 |  Fernando AlonsoALO Aston Martin | $5.4M | 0.7 | -1815 | 70% |
| 22 |  Lance StrollSTRAston Martin | $3.0M | -0.1 | -1815 | 1% |
Overtake counts and Driver of the Day are modelled, not known. The simulated weekends vary less from race to race than real ones (chaotic races are rarer here), so ranges for whole teams are a little narrow.
How are the F1 Fantasy projections made?
The same race simulator behind the season projections runs the next weekend thousands of times, drawing qualifying, the race, retirements and the fastest lap. Each simulated weekend is then scored with the F1 Fantasy rules, including fitted models for overtakes, Driver of the Day and pit stop points.
Who is projected to score the most F1 Fantasy points at the United States Grand Prix?
Max Verstappen is projected to score the most among drivers: 28.8 points on average, with a range of 10 to 47.
What does the range mean?
It is the middle 80 percent of simulated outcomes: one weekend in ten scores below the low number and one in ten above the high number. A wide range means a boom or bust pick.
How accurate are the projections?
Each projection is saved before the race and graded against the real points afterwards, next to a plain trailing-average baseline. Until a few races have been graded, treat the numbers as a ranking aid rather than a promise. The simulated weekends also vary less from race to race than real ones, so ranges for whole teams are a little narrow.
Whose price is most likely to rise after the United States Grand Prix?
Max Verstappen rises in 100% of simulated weekends, the highest of any asset.
Unofficial fan tool. Not affiliated with, endorsed by or connected to Formula 1 or the official F1 Fantasy game. Prices, points and pick rates come from published F1 Fantasy results; the price rule shown is fitted to that data, not published by the game.