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Race Report

Post-Race Report Card

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Japanese Grand Prix

Round 3 · March 29, 2026

P1
Kimi Antonelli

Kimi Antonelli

Mercedes

1:28:03.403

Started P1

P2
Oscar Piastri

Oscar Piastri

McLaren

+13.722

Started P3

P3
Charles Leclerc

Charles Leclerc

Ferrari

+15.270

Started P4

Race Recap

Kimi Antonelli converted pole position into victory at the Japanese Grand Prix, leading Mercedes to a lights-to-flag result. An 86 OVR performance grade confirms a dominant weekend. Piastri finished second for McLaren, with Leclerc completing the podium.

The Decisive Factor

Antonelli's tire management (91 TIR) was the difference: preserving pace deep into stints when others fell away.

Championship Impact

In the championship picture, Antonelli leads the title race with a 100% win probability. Antonelli leads Russell by 102 points in the standings.

The fastest lap went to Antonelli (1:32.432): part of a 86 PAC pace performance.

Laps

53

Fastest Lap

1:32.432

Kimi Antonelli

DNFs

2

Race Distance

307.8 km

Race Results

P1Kimi AntonelliFL+25
P2Oscar Piastri+18
P3Charles Leclerc+15
P4George Russell+12
P5Lando Norris+10
P6Lewis Hamilton+8
P7Pierre Gasly+6
P8Max Verstappen+4
P9Liam Lawson+2
P10Esteban Ocon+1
P11Nico Hulkenberg
P12Isack Hadjar
P13Gabriel Bortoleto
P14Arvid Lindblad
P15Carlos Sainz
P16Franco Colapinto
P17Sergio Perez
P18Fernando Alonso
P19Valtteri Bottas
P20Alex Albon
P21Lance StrollDNF
P22Oliver BearmanDNF

Updated Standings

1Kimi Antonelli340
2George Russell238
3Lewis Hamilton229
4Max Verstappen221
5Charles Leclerc215
6Lando Norris201
7Oscar Piastri138
8Isack Hadjar97
9Liam Lawson75
10Pierre Gasly41

Title Projections

Antonelli
100.0%
Hamilton
0.0%
Verstappen
0.0%
Russell
0.0%
Leclerc
0.0%

Based on 50,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Constructors' Projections

Mercedes99.9%
Ferrari0.1%
Red Bull Racing0.0%
McLaren0.0%
Racing Bulls0.0%

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Updated after R3 Japanese GP